Abstract
The project TRANSLATE (climaTe Risk informAtion from eNSembLe weAther and climaTe prEdictions) addresses the need to improve the understanding and predictability of hydrological extremes over the European region. TRANSLATE aims to develop event-based storylines that describe the unfolding of flood events that are unprecedented in the relatively short observational record using seasonal reforecasts of river streamflow from the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS). The aim of TRANSLATE is to develop a tool methodology to be used to develop risk storylines, including causal networks of physical and socio-economic indicators of extreme weather events. The ultimate goal is to produce actionable information that can assist in the implementation of adaptation actions by local stakeholders. The project builds on an integrated methodology that combines ensemble prediction systems with an open-source impact model to estimate the expected damage of unprecedented extremes. The core result is a catalogue of unprecedented flood events with high potential for direct economic damage to the target region, illustrating the patterns of atmospheric circulation associated with high-impact events. The tool methodology can be applied to any catchment where input data can be systematically validated due to its customizable structure.
Dettagli del progetto
Responsabile scientifico: Francesco Barbano
Strutture Unibo coinvolte:
Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia "Augusto Righi"
Coordinatore:
ALMA MATER STUDIORUM - Università di Bologna(Italy)
Contributo totale di progetto: Euro (EUR) 237.637,00
Contributo totale Unibo: Euro (EUR) 130.637,00
Durata del progetto in mesi: 24
Data di inizio
30/11/2023
Data di fine:
28/02/2026
