32566 - Financial Risks Analysis

Academic Year 2015/2016

  • Teaching Mode: In-person learning (entirely or partially)
  • Campus: Forli
  • Corso: Second cycle degree programme (LM) in Economics and Business Administration (cod. 8858)

Course contents

1. Risk: definitions and classifications; downside risk; mean, variance and standard deviation; the meaning of volatility; risk and asymmetric return distributions.

2. Risk Measures: Value at Risk (VaR), Expected Shortfall (CVAR); Risk Measures property; selecting VaR parameters; Back-testing and Stress-testing; VaR measuring procedures.

3. Trade-off between risk and return: the Markowitz' model; the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM); the Arbitrage Pricing Model (APT); Portfolio Selection via Vol, VaR and CVaR.

4. The trade-off between risk and return in relation to the Companies.

5. Financial products and hedging procedures: Exchange-traded Market and over-the-counter Market (OTC); hedging procedures description; 'Plain-vanilla' products (spot and long position, short selling, forwards, futures, swaps, options); using financial products for hedging; a short assay on exotic options and structured products.

6. Interest Rate Risk Measures and Management: Interest Rate Risk  in relation to bond with or without coupon; duration meaning and  peculiarities; from the duration limits to convexity and to stochastic duration; hedging procedures and  Financial Immunization.

7. Credit Risk and Default Probability: ratings;  Z-score model; Default Probability and historical data; Default Probability and bond prices; Default Probability and stock prices; a short assay on Credit Derivatives (CDS, CDS Forwards and CDS Options).

8. Banking Regulation and Basil III: from Basil I to Basil II; from Basil II to Basil III; Credit Risk and Basil II; Operational Risk and Basil II. A short assay on Basil III.

9. Operational Risk: definitions; the approaches for the operational risk capital quantification; operational risks classification; loss frequency distribution and loss severity distribution; forward looking approaches; capital distribution to face operational risks.

10. Model Risk and Liquidity Risk: the models; the models in relation to linear product and the models in relation to structured products; the overfitting and the overparameterization problems; Liquidity Risk definition; liquidity black holes; long-term capital management.

Office hours

See the website of Anna Grazia Quaranta