10016 - Social Demography

Course Unit Page


This teaching activity contributes to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals of the UN 2030 Agenda.

No poverty Zero hunger Good health and well-being Gender equality

Academic Year 2019/2020

Learning outcomes

The aim of the course is, on the one hand, to study demographic projection in depth, on the other hand, to analyze interaction between demographic and social variables in developed and developing world.

Course contents

Prerequisites: knowledge of basic demographic theory and measures.


Recent Italian demographic trend in the European context. Patterns of fertility in low-fertility settings.The evolution of mortality.

Population projections. Formulation of detailed assumptions about the future paths of fertility, mortality and migration.

Population projections by age and by sex. Population projections and migration.

World population growth and perspectives. In depth analysis of developed and developing countries most relevant problems (ageing, fertility control, migration).


Compulsory readings:

V. Terra Abrami, Le previsioni demografiche, Il Mulino, Bologna, 1998.

United Nations, Patterns of fertility in low-fertility settings, New York, 1992 (chapters III and IV).

M. Livi Bacci, Introduzione alla demografia, Loescher, Torino, 1999 (Cap. 12).

One reading among:

G. Dalla Zuanna, P. Farina, S. Strozza, Nuovi italiani. I giovani immigrati cambieranno il nostro paese?, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2009.

D. Del Boca, A. Rosina , Famiglie sole. Sopravvivere con un welfare inefficiente, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2009.

A.Golini (a cura di), Il futuro della popolazione del mondo, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2009.

M.Livi Bacci, Avanti giovani, alla riscossa. come uscire dalla crisi giovanile in Italia, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2008.

Teaching methods

Frontal lessons and practices

Assessment methods

PC lab test on demographic projections and oral test on the topics developed during the courses. Final score resumes marks on both tests.

Teaching tools

Slides and power point presentation

Office hours

See the website of Alessandra Samoggia