- Docente: Paola Monari
- Credits: 5
- SSD: SECS-S/01
- Language: Italian
- Teaching Mode: Traditional lectures
- Campus: Bologna
- Corso: Second cycle degree programme (LM) in STATISTICAL SCIENCES (cod. 8055)
Course contents
- The problem of decision under uncertainty
- Decision trees: simple and complex decision trees
- Statistical inference: tests of significance as sequential decision procedures; testing hypotheses; the likelihood principle and optional stopping
- Conditional probability and Bayes' theorem
- Assessment of utilities: utility function
- Terminal analysis: opportunity loss and the value of perfect information
- Case studies
Readings/Bibliography
- J. W. Pratt, H. Raiffa, R. Schlaifer, 1996, Introduction to statistical decision theory, MIT Press, Massachussets (sections 1, 4, 6, 10,12, 20)
- P. H. Garthwaite et al., 2002 (2nd edition), Statistical inference, Oxford University Press, Oxford
- Teacher's notes
Teaching methods
- Classrooms
- Seminars
Assessment methods
Oral exam
Teaching tools
Classrooms and seminars
Office hours
See the website of Paola Monari