- Docente: Francesco Mulargia
- Credits: 6
- SSD: GEO/10
- Language: Italian
- Teaching Mode: Traditional lectures
- Campus: Bologna
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Corso:
Second cycle degree programme (LM) in
Geology and Land Management (cod. 8027)
Also valid for Second cycle degree programme (LM) in Geology and Land Management (cod. 8027)
Learning outcomes
After completing the course , the student is able to describe the basic physical processes of earthquakes . The student also learns the basics of statistics and seismological observation . In particular , at the end of the course the student is able to : - Calculate the state of strain and stress ; - Understand and describe quantitatively the Fracture Mechanics ; - Critically read the literature on earthquake prediction ; - Develop quantitative hazard and risk scenarios
Course contents
The forces at play in the earth's crust : Continuum Mechanics and linear elasticity . Fracture Mechanics . The stress on faults and the " seismic cycle " : the Characteristic Earthquake and paradoxes of the classical approach . Earthquakes as a thermodynamic process . Basics of statistics and data analysis . Hypothesis testing . Data Mining and statistical significance of the discoveries: false and true precursors. The deterministic and statistical prediction of earthquakes . The estimation of seismic risk .
Readings/Bibliography
- Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction
Mulargia, F., Geller, R.J. (Eds.), Springer, 2003
- Why is Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) still used?Mulargia, F., Stark, P.B., Geller, R.K., Phys. Earth Plan. Inter. 2017
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031920116303016?via%3Dihub
- Le pubblicazioni scientifiche più significative inerenti
Teaching methods
Lectures.
Critical guided reading of relevant publications, and discussion.
Research by the students guided by the teacher, and related presentations
Assessment methods
Presentations.
Final examination.
Teaching tools
AV
Office hours
See the website of Francesco Mulargia